Running the football and stopping the run are two of
the most basic elements in football, not just from a coaching
standpoint but from a handicapping one. Teams that run the football
effectively can control the clock and tire out opposing defenses. A
strong running game even helps the passing game (with the exception of
the Atlanta Falcons) as defenses often have to stack the line
anticipating the run, leaving single coverage downfield, a boon on a
play-action pass.
Consequently, stopping the run is just as
essential. Two of the top run defenses in the game met in February in
the Super Bowl when the Steelers topped the Seahawks. The Carolina
Panthers, for instance, have had a nice run the last three years and
their success starts up front with excellent run stuffers like Kris
Jenkins and Maake Kemoeatu.
This weekend the Steelers play the
Falcons in a fascinating match-up of strengths: Power running teams and
tough run defenses. Through their first four games, the Falcons had
held opponents to 69 rushing yards per game, but then the NY Giants ran
up 259 yards on them! No doubt Pittsburgh will come right at them.
Here's a look at top teams rushing the football this season:
YPC Rushing Yds pg
Falcons 6.4 232
Chargers 4.3 158
Giants 5.3 151
Cowboys 4.5 151
Broncos 4.6 142
Patriots 3.9 139
What
stands out is that they all have winning records both straight up and
against the spread, with the exception of the 2-3 Denver ATS mark. All
total their marks are 21-6 SU, 18-12 ATS. Teams that can run the
football can not only give themselves an edge winning a game, but are
often very strong against the number.
All of which is going to
make the Monday night game interesting as the Giants and Cowboys clash.
The Cowboys defense will have to find a way to contain Tiki Barber. Did
you know the Cowboys have the NFL's top rushing defense? Talk about
power against power!
Take a look at the poorest run defense in
the NFL: Colts, Titans, Raiders, Texans, Jets and Browns. You only find
one potential playoff team in that list, and mostly bad teams. That's
why the Colts ran out this week and traded for Anthony McFarland of
Tampa Bay, a strong run stuffer. That is potentially a great move for
the Colts, so keep an eye on their run defense over the next month. It
could be a great addition, and it certainly won't hurt as they have the
worst run defense!
Finally, here are the worst running teams in
the NFL: Dolphins, Packers, Bucs, Browns, Lions, Cardinals and Texans.
You don't see any Super Bowl timber in that mix, do you? Passing the
football may be exciting to most fans, but defense and the ground game
are the real weapons to winning, both SU and ATS.